Our Nation is divided into many ethnic/economic/geographic groups. ACA will affect all of us but was specifically designed to address some groups but not all. The long term welfare poor were the main focus of ACA with undocumented workers as a second strong focus. Medium term employed moderate income workers were targeted to pay for ACA either willingly or through expensive fines for non compliance. Long term high income employed workers were singled out for "income redistribution" by taxing their employer health plans (Cadillac health plans),
Here is how I predict these various groups will actually experience ACA:
The long term welfare poor will not readily sign up for a plan and welfare workers will have to go out and work them through the process. They will soon stop paying their monthly health care payments leaving the plans in the red. They will not go to their primary care physicians for preventive medicine and will continue their current practice of going to the emergency room when they are sick or injured.
Undocumented workers and their families will have to be tracked down by social workers to get them enrolled because they are afraid of ICE and deportation. They too will continue their current practice of using the emergency room and will not continue to make payments on their ACA health insurance
The medium term moderate income employed will grudgingly sign up and pay for a while but will eventually drop payments on their ACA health insurance. They will not got to their primary care professional for preventive medicine and will use the emergency room when medical care is needed,
Long term employed high income folk will pay most of the costs of ACA through vastly increased costs of their health plans and through additional taxes. They will also see increased denial of services and increased cost sharing with medicare.
It doesn't look good economically nor medically and, as usual, retired people on fixed income are the big losers.
Thursday, May 23, 2013
Wednesday, April 24, 2013
How does a Religious Radical become Dangerously Extreme?
Both Christianity and Islam have dangerous radical elements. Buddhism, though not technically a religion, has a few radicals as well (remember the self immolation by Monks during the Vietnam War and the war with China over Tibet). It seems to me that religious people are all supposed to be peaceful. Sure, the Bible and the Koran have violent passages and even urge their reader to enact violence on the "infidels or non believer or wrong believers". Catholics have fought wars with Protestants (I mean real wars with armies lead by Kings and Emporers). The people of Islam have fought wars between different factions such as Shiite vs Suni. Yes, the war between Iraq and Iran that preceded the first Gulf War was sectarian and the final battle was the largest tank battle since WWII. The majority of the casualties in the second Iraq war were due to sectarian violence in the form of car and truck bombs rather than American guns. The killing by American Christian radicals has been by bombs for the most part. The deliberate assault near Waco, TX that ended up burning men women and children in a Christian separatist sect in their compound was a terrible thing and a black mark on the reputation of Federal agents who "cowboyed" the operation when it could have easily been peacefully ended with the capture of the leader on one of his many trips to town for supplies. Oklahoma city was a revenge killing intended to kill as many federal workers as possible.
How do the architects of such heinous crimes justify their actions to themselves? I believe that it begins with a typical young "believer" who is following in parents foot steps and not really sure what he believes but goes through the motions to be socially acceptable. As time progresses and learning begins, either wisdom or zealotry begin to take over. The wise believer holds fast to his common sense and humanity while the zealot begins to focus on specific passages that demand action and obedience. The zealot may have too much humanity to go over the edge into radicalism, but if he does not then we have the makings of a pro-active radical extremist. In times past, contact with others of a similar ilk was less likely than it is today with the internet and social media. Once radicalized, a zealot also has a vast library of stimulating oratory to urge him on and many technical manual to teach him how to act out his fury in a violent way.
True Believers who are Humanly Wise must rise up to oppose these dangerous men. Neither Islam nor Christianity want their bitter wine. We must speak out against violence and bigotry while we still can.
How do the architects of such heinous crimes justify their actions to themselves? I believe that it begins with a typical young "believer" who is following in parents foot steps and not really sure what he believes but goes through the motions to be socially acceptable. As time progresses and learning begins, either wisdom or zealotry begin to take over. The wise believer holds fast to his common sense and humanity while the zealot begins to focus on specific passages that demand action and obedience. The zealot may have too much humanity to go over the edge into radicalism, but if he does not then we have the makings of a pro-active radical extremist. In times past, contact with others of a similar ilk was less likely than it is today with the internet and social media. Once radicalized, a zealot also has a vast library of stimulating oratory to urge him on and many technical manual to teach him how to act out his fury in a violent way.
True Believers who are Humanly Wise must rise up to oppose these dangerous men. Neither Islam nor Christianity want their bitter wine. We must speak out against violence and bigotry while we still can.
Monday, April 22, 2013
The Face of the Islamic Jihadist
Those in the media and the past several administrations have been kidding themselves about what sort of person might be a dangerous Jihadist/suicide bomber. We seem to want them to be wild eyed and obviously crazy from a poor country and a poor family with a poor upbringing. Nothing could be farther from the truth. Look at the two Boston bombers. They were both highly educated and came from highly educated and fairly well todoo families. The 911 Jihadists were similarly well educated and from educated families of the middle class. It seems to me that the driving force among these people is radical religious beliefs taught to them in mosques both real and virtual (online). They willingly gave their lives to destroy as many infidels as possible. What is worst is that they were essentially all educated in America under our very noses. I have noted that our colleges and universities have welcomed students from Islamic countries mainly because their countries are paying a premium to get their young men educated here and the colleges and universities are raking in the dough. I especially noted this when I lived in Tulsa in the middle 1970's and the Iranian's were being taught to fly by the dozens at a local flying school which I thought was not a good idea politically. My wife was getting an advanced degree at OSU and when the Iyatolla Khomeni overthrew the Shah and began the terrible Islamic dictatorship in Iran, the Iranian students were all swooning with joy. It is obvious that these students were a threat to America all those years ago. It is time to take off the rose colored glasses.
Sunday, June 10, 2012
WHY COLLEGES COST TOO MUCH
Vaden Burns Hargis was named President of Oklahoma State
University in Dec 2007 taking office March 10, 2008. His compensation was set
at $350,000 annually plus a $20,000 annual car allowance and rumored memberships in two exclusive
country clubs with golf courses.
In Sept 2008 Hargis was named to the Board of Chesapeake
Energy Co. His compensation in 2011 was $565,465 and he owned 56,441 shares of Chesapeake
stock.
In their 2012 Stockholders meeting, Hargis received only
26% of the votes in favor of his retention on the board. This was the lowest total vote ever received by a
sitting Board Member of a Fortune 500 Company. What makes this so egregious
is that Mr. Hargis is trained as an accountant and a Lawyer and a major part of
his duties as a board member was oversight the financial operations of the
executive leadership. The very things
that Aubrey McClendon is being investigated for are clearly in Mr. Hargis arena
of expertise. The stockholders smelled a rat.
QUESTION:
Since Vaden Burns Hargis was a full time employee of the
State of Oklahoma, by whose authority did he accept a part time job on Chesapeake’s
Board? When I worked for a major oil company I was considered to be a
professional and therefore not hourly. This meant that I was not available to
work in my “off” hours for another company and indeed was forbidden to do so.
How does President Hargis pull this off.
ANALYSIS:
This is a great example of “good-ole-boy” politics at
work. I doubt that Oklahoma State benefited much from Mr. Hargis’ expertise. He
was a figure head and an expensive one. The tuition increases under him have
been painful and I doubt he spent any sleepless nights trying to avoid
them. This is a “TIP OF THE ICEBERG” story
and is only one of the many reasons that college tuition has become
ridiculously expensive
Saturday, June 9, 2012
The Differences Between Liberals and Conservatives
The
Differences Between Liberals and Conservatives
These comments are based on my own readings and
observations of people over the length of my 74 years. Contrary to
most Political discussions of this subject, I divide the spectrum
into 4 quadrants: Liberals, Liberal Libertarians, Conservatives, and
Conservative Libertarians. I would add to this the “Independents”
who are a hodgepodge of disinterested non voters and voters, and
people who have a bone to pick with both parties.
Liberal
Libertarians
This group of people contain many sub groups but are
predominantly people who don't believe that laws pertain to them.
This is very common among youth who advocate media piracy and drug
freedom. Some Unions fall in this category as well as they advocate
freedoms and rights for their members that are not available to the
general public, This is best demonstrated by public employee Unions
Cadillac health and retirement plans that are much richer than those
available to the working man. Our Congress and Executive and Judicial
branches are the worst example of rich rewards at tax payer expense.
We are all created equal but some are more equal than others. The
rights of the masses (common good) trump the rights of the
individual. Liberal
Libertarians are spiritually similar to the bomb throwing anarchists
of Europe and the revolutionaries who took over right after the
French revolution. Remember Sarajevo? Remember the Haymarket bomb
thrown at a labor rally in Chicago May 4, 1886 that killed 7 policemen?
Remember the Symbionese Liberation Army (SLA)?
Remeber that the Maoist SLA assassinated the Superintendent of Schools
in Oakland, shot and wounded several people, kidnapped Patty Hearst, and
ended in a huge shoot out in LA in which several were killed by gunfire
and fire.
Liberals
Liberals are feeling people who make decisions with
their heart. Most are agnostic or downright atheists but have
co-opted the Judeo-Christian ethic as their world view. This is
ironic since almost all of them are Darwinians who frown on
unbelievers without understanding that the Darwinian Theory of
Evolution is founded on the idea of Survival of the Fittest (most
well adapted to the current environment}. Darwinians make a huge
effort to cover this up but it is to no avail, we all know that the
strong eat the weak. Therefore, Liberals, are in a constant war with
Natural Selection and expend huge amounts other peoples money to try
to save the poor from their plight. This usually means food and
medicine aid which leads to rapid multiplication of the poor and an
even worse problem. General George Marshall was a Liberal and he
spent what would now be several trillion dollars of our money
rehabilitating the European economy after WWII (even the Communist
countries). His goal was to create a group of friendly neighbors who
would forever be beholden to us. We all know how that turned out. To
fund their grandiose Social Programs, Liberals have subscribed to
Keynsian Economic Theory which advocates printing money backed by
Treasury Bonds. This scurrilous technique forces the economy to grow
by deflating the dollar thus wiping out the retirement of the elderly
on fixed income. Liberal are spiritually similar to Eastern
Europeans in their world view.
Independents
Independents are interesting because there is no "Independent" Party and therefore they don't get any say in who will be either parties candidate. This means that most of the election is settled without their input. Independents are often split ticket voters and single issue voters. They also tend to have grudges against both parties for things that happened long ago. The two houses of our Government rarely have members who were elected as independents and even they caucus with one party or the other. Many Independent voters feel that they are somehow "balancing" the scales between the Liberals and Conservatives. In truth, they are just shrinking from the political fight.
Conservatives
The core of the conservative group are
the owners of small businesses who are constantly at war with
Government over taxes, fees, and regulations. The next largest group
are the religious conservatives who see the Government as an opponent
and a hinderance. Conservatives feel that they are the ones who have
to pay for the grand schemes of the Liberals and they resent it.
Conservatives believe that Social Progrrams must have a SUSTAINABLE
financial basis and that Governments should live within their means
rather than borrowing printed money. These people are spiritually
similar to our founding fathers and pioneer fore fathers.
Conservative
Libertarians
Conservative Libertarians are a varied group. They
include neo-Nazi's and White Supremecists but there are also business
men and bankers and stock brokers who chafe at Government
interference in their lives. Spiritually they are similar to some of
our cherished heroes, Daniel Boone, Davy Crockett, and the Mountain
Men of yesteryear who lived lives of exploration and discovery. They
were not fit to live in a modern metropolis. Whereas Liberals do not
generally believe in private ownership of property, these
Conservative Libertarians are grasping for it. Their view of
Government is that it should be as small as possible and cost little.
Private rights trump the rights of the masses.
Thursday, April 7, 2011
What is wrong with the Federal Regulation of Oil and Gas
In the wake of the BP oil spill, Michael Bromwich was appointed to head up the agency that oversees leasing and permitting of federal waters. Under his leadership very little leasing and permitting has occurred, in spite of pronouncements to the contrary. Additional, costly rules and regulations have also been implemented. The net result is increased imports of Oil and increased cost of gasoline and other petroleum products. Not a very optimistic start. A little research into the credentials of Mr. Bromwich leads me to believe the HE is the problem. Bromwich is a lawyer with experience in forensic investigation of large Governmental organizations. His record on this score is good. He has not, however, been a CEO or President of a company and therefore is inexperienced at leadership and business in general. He has no training or experience in the Oil and Gas industry and is thus totally out of his element. In other words, he is a typical political appointee, well connected and clueless. The sad story of Obama miss management of the O&G Industry is documented on:
facebook pages forLeading-Edge-Geotechnology-Consultants-Inc
facebook pages forLeading-Edge-Geotechnology-Consultants-Inc
Wednesday, December 22, 2010
Saving the American Economy and our Future
In 2009 I posted a list of suggestions for a sensible and progressive energy policy. The Obama administration has not made any progress in this area and energy is an even bigger drain on our economy. Fossil fuels could be a major stimulus to our economy if the Government and its minions would get their foot off the necks of the Energy companies and work with them to solve problems in a cooperative and amicable way. That just doesn't seem to be the way that the current DC bunch works. They get a thrill out of thrashing the opposition and that seems to be all that matters to them. Now, in the aftermath of the oil spill in the Gulf, we are importing even more oil from Countries that are not friendly, thereby enriching them immensely. There is no alternate energy source that can step in to take the place of fossil fuels, in spite of all the hype. My suggestions in the 2009 post would go a long way toward helping us to immediate economic recovery and intermediate term independence from imports.
Now let's talk about the National Debt crisis. We as a nation own immense tracts of land and huge expanses of public roads. The sale of some of our public lands has become an ABSOLUTE NECESSITY. We can still have control of the development of the lands that we sell bu we must not let environmentalists keep us from selling the land. It is our future that is at stake. Secondly, it is time to sell some of the interstate highway system. The result would be that the roads would become toll roads. Toll roads are a pain but so are taxes. Many of the roads are not being maintained well and making them private toll roads would solve that problem as well. Wild Life Refuges have grown to be a major portion of the Governments Land Holdings. Many of these should be sold to environmental defense groups to whom these are important projects. These groups are the ones who lobbied for the purchase of the lands to begin with so now they need to step up and repay the treasury for the cost of the land. It's not like this in not being done right now by groups like Ducks Unlimited. We just can't afford to satisfy every small group's desires for assistance anymore.
Now to Taxes. I like use taxes like sales tax and toll roads. It is time to change our tax system. For one thing, it is built on the model of the young employee who receives a regular pay check. That young employee has no ability to duck taxes. Self employed persons, however, duck a lot of taxes. If they are paid in cash or barter, they usually can skim a large amount cash without paying taxes. There are a lot of loopholes that strong lobbys have gotten for their emplo yers. All of this could be made fair again by switching to a use/sales tax. It is time for a Tea Party Revolution on Taxes Some Liberals feel strongly that "Rich" people should pay most of the taxes in America. This is exactly what a national sales tax will accomplish. People with money spend the most money and thus would pay the most taxes. The retiree.living on a meager pension, should not have to worry that regressive property taxes will drive him from his home. A national sales tax can replace all of the regressive and complicated taxes in the current system and be fair, progressive, and effective in paying down the national debt.
Now let's talk about the National Debt crisis. We as a nation own immense tracts of land and huge expanses of public roads. The sale of some of our public lands has become an ABSOLUTE NECESSITY. We can still have control of the development of the lands that we sell bu we must not let environmentalists keep us from selling the land. It is our future that is at stake. Secondly, it is time to sell some of the interstate highway system. The result would be that the roads would become toll roads. Toll roads are a pain but so are taxes. Many of the roads are not being maintained well and making them private toll roads would solve that problem as well. Wild Life Refuges have grown to be a major portion of the Governments Land Holdings. Many of these should be sold to environmental defense groups to whom these are important projects. These groups are the ones who lobbied for the purchase of the lands to begin with so now they need to step up and repay the treasury for the cost of the land. It's not like this in not being done right now by groups like Ducks Unlimited. We just can't afford to satisfy every small group's desires for assistance anymore.
Now to Taxes. I like use taxes like sales tax and toll roads. It is time to change our tax system. For one thing, it is built on the model of the young employee who receives a regular pay check. That young employee has no ability to duck taxes. Self employed persons, however, duck a lot of taxes. If they are paid in cash or barter, they usually can skim a large amount cash without paying taxes. There are a lot of loopholes that strong lobbys have gotten for their emplo yers. All of this could be made fair again by switching to a use/sales tax. It is time for a Tea Party Revolution on Taxes Some Liberals feel strongly that "Rich" people should pay most of the taxes in America. This is exactly what a national sales tax will accomplish. People with money spend the most money and thus would pay the most taxes. The retiree.living on a meager pension, should not have to worry that regressive property taxes will drive him from his home. A national sales tax can replace all of the regressive and complicated taxes in the current system and be fair, progressive, and effective in paying down the national debt.
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